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Morning Bulletin

15/06/2021
Categories: General Information

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Pending the start of the Fed meeting and a series of indicators, all European stocks are expected to rise on Tuesday, except the DAX30 and the DJIA. The Eurostoxx 50 opens at 4,132.67 points up 0.14%, the CAC 40  at 6,616.35 points up 0.24%, the FTSE 100 at 7,146.68 points (0.18%), the SMI at 11,866.41 points (0.21%), the AEX 730.10 points (0.22%), the BEL 20 at 4,220.84 points (0.73%), the IBEX 35 at 9,281.10 points (0.83%), the Nasdaq at 14,174.14 points (0.74%), the S&P 500 at 4,255.15 points (0.18%) and the Nikkei 225 at 29,457.65 points (1.01%). The DJIA and the DAX 30  are down with 34,393.75 points (-0.25%) and 15,673.64 points (0.13%) respectively.

The Exchange Rate at 06:50 indicates a variation from the close in New York. USD/JPY  remained stable at 110.08 while EUR/USD gained 1.2128 up 0.07% and EUR/JPY      133.49 up 0.07%.

In France, investors will follow the final inflation figures in France may on Tuesday. The first estimate of the National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies (INSEE), published on May 28, reported a 1.4% year-on-year increase in consumer prices, after a 1.2% increase in April. On the corporate side, Airbus is holding a press conference on the products and business environment of the aerospace and defense group. Carrefour presents its new "data and retail media" strategy. Verallia brings together its shareholders in a general meeting.

European equity markets are expected to open higher today and climb to new records, while the Stoxx Europe 600 index reached a high for the seventh consecutive session the day before. At 7:40 a.m., the CAC 40 futures contract gained 18 points, or 0.3%, according to data from broker IG Markets. The contract on the DAX 30 took 58 points, or 0.4%, and the ftse 100 contract gained 17 points, or 0.2%.

  Investors will pay attention to many economic indicators, including inflation in Germany in May, retail sales, industrial production and producer prices in the United States. In addition, the Presidents of the European Commission and the European Council, Ursula von der Leyen and Charles Michel, will meet with the President of the United States, Joe Biden. The Federal Reserve, for its part, is starting a highly anticipated monetary policy meeting in a context of a recovery in the US economy and a sharp rise in inflation.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices hit new records on Wall Street, following a wait-and-see session ahead of the Fed meeting. While the Dow Jones Index (DJIA) fell 0.3% to 34,393 points, the broader S&P 500 index ended up 0.2% at 4,255 points, a new all-time high. The Nasdaq Composite rose 0.7% to end at a new high of 14,174.14 points.

In Asia, the main indices are moving in scattered order on Tuesday. The Nikkei index gained 1% at the end of the session in Tokyo. The Hong Kong Stock Exchange's Hang Seng and the Shanghai Composite lost 0.8% and 0.9% for their first session of the week. These two stock exchanges were closed on Monday for a public holiday.

Bendary investors are preparing for the Fed meeting and waiting to hear the Fed's views on U.S. inflation. Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury yields are down slightly on Tuesday morning after recovering some of the ground lost last week on Monday. Steve Barrow, head of G10 strategy at Standard Bank, in a note published on Monday indicates that Treasury bond yields could fall a little further, if the Fed is patient.  Presidential election in France next year when measuring the yield spread, or spread, between the ten-year Bund and the OAT of the same maturity.  Global power plants and by the integration into the end courses of the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP) of the European Central Bank (ECB), says Natixis.

  

 

On the currency side, economists polled by the Wall Street Journal anticipate a 0.6% month-on-month decline in this indicator, as data from previous months was supported by federal aid paid to US households. The euro edged up against the dollar on Tuesday morning ahead of the release of the monthly U.S. retail sales report. In addition, investors will monitor on Wednesday, after the Fed meeting, any changes in the expected path of interest rates ("dot plot"), inflation projections and possible comments from the Fed chairman, Jerome Powell, on the schedule of reducing asset purchases, says IG.

TD Securities warns that the US central bank should adopt a slightly less dovish tone than before, which could allow the dollar to rise. Jerome Powell will likely indicate that discussions on a plan to withdraw asset purchases have begun, but he should insist that the timeline will depend on further progress toward the Fed's goals, says TD's currency strategist. Ned Rumpeltin. "If confirmed, our base case should support the dollar," he said.

Oil contracts are trading slightly higher on Tuesday morning, but operators are concerned about the UK's decision to extend restrictions related to the Covid-19 pandemic by four weeks due to the spread of the Indian variant, At 7:35 a.m. , the August contract for North Sea Brent was up 34 cents, at $73.20 a barrel, and the July contract for light sweet crude (WTI) listed on the Nymex was up 33 cents, at $71.22 a barrel. This is likely to weigh on optimism about global fuel demand this summer, ANZ Bank said.

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