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OF Morning Brief

05/09/2025
Source : ORISHAS FINANCE
Categories: General Information

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European stock exchanges are expected to open higher Friday, as investors await the monthly report with interest on non-agricultural employment in the United States with a view to the next Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut.

The evolution of the Sanofi title will be monitored on Friday morning. The shares of the pharmaceutical group plunged 8.3% on Thursday, penalized by the results of a study showing that its experimental treatment amlitelimab in the treatment of atopic dermatitis was less effective than his star treatment, Dupixent, which will fall into the public domain in 2031.

The aeronautical equipment manufacturer Safran plans to sell its assets in the field of aircraft interior design, to except for seats, the Financial Times reported on Friday. Contacted by The Agefi-Dow Jones agency, Safran representatives could not be reached immediately to comment on this information.
At around 7:50am, the CAC 40 futures contract gained 0.4%, according to data from IG broker.

In the wake of Wall Street and waiting for The publication at 14:30 (Paris time) of the monthly report on employment no Agricultural in the United States, European equity markets are expected to rise Friday.

Around 7:50 a.m., the DAX 40 futures contract at Frankfurt rose by 0.4%, while the one on the FTSE 100 in London gained 0.2%, according to data from the broker IG.

After disappointing employment indicators that come reinforce the hypothesis of a reduction in Federal Reserve (Fed) rates, the New York Stock Exchange ended higher on Thursday and offered a new record for S&P 500.
At the close, the Dow Jones index rose 0.8% to 45,621.29 points. The clue S&P 500 advanced 0.8% to reach a new high of 6,502.08 points and the Nasdaq, rich in technology stocks, gained 1% to 23,517 points, taking advantage in particular of a further easing in bond rates.
On the eve of the employment report, investors were on a note optimistic, hoping that the American economy will continue to resist despite the tariffs, and that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will relax its policy monetary before the end of the year.
Two new data reinforced this scenario in the eyes of investors on Thursday. The announcement of weak job creation in the private sector in August and the Publication of an activity indicator in services that is slightly stronger than expected in particular under the effect of new orders.
But hiring in the service sector, which accounts for more than two-thirds of the American economy, remained at half-mast for the third month in a row, according to the ISM survey conducted among purchasing managers.
This brake on employment, which could be confirmed on Friday with only 75,000 job creations expected by economists in August, could Decide the Fed to lower these rates even if inflation continues to be a concern.
according to Chris Larkin, managing director of trading and investing at Morgan Stanley's E*TRADE, “In the short term, the markets could well welcome this data, as it should increase the likelihood of declines Fed rates.”

For its part, the CME FedWatch consensus states that investors are now almost certain to expect a fall by a quarter of a percentage point in key rates at the next meeting of 16 and September 17, and are now mostly expecting another drop of the same level in October.

In Asia, the Nikkei index of the Tokyo Stock Exchange rose by 0.8% on Friday at the end of trading. The Shanghai Composite Index gained 0.4%, while the Hang Seng on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange gained 0.6%.

The US Treasury bond rate at ten years was almost stable, at 4.57%, around 7:50am. The two-year security rate fell by 1 basis point (0.01 percentage point), to 3.59%. Les Investors widely expect the Fed to cut rates during its next meeting scheduled for 16 and 17 September. The publication of a report on Friday on employment, testifying to a slowdown in the labor market, should reinforce this forecast a bit more.

The greenback gave up 0.2% against the currency Japanese, at 148.20 yen in the run-up to an upcoming fall in rates of the Fed. Around 7:40 a.m., the euro gained 0.2% to 1.1670 dollars.

Black gold prices are down slightly Friday. According to analysts at Westpac, investors are worried about a excess supply.

Demand for rough diamonds is for its part weighed down by the slowdown in global trade due in part to the ongoing customs war by American President Donald Trump against the rest of the world.

ANZ Research estimates that operators will be paying attention this weekend to the meeting of the Organization of Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+), which could lead to further increases in production.

The October soft light crude (WTI) contract listed on Nymex lost 16 cents, or 0.3%, to $63.32 per barrel.

Around 7:50, the contract of November on North Sea Brent traded in London sold 13 cents, or 0.2%, at $66.87 per barrel

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