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Find all the economic and financial information on our Orishas Direct application to download on Play StoreAs investors look at new
company results and await the publication, in the afternoon, of
Statistics on retail sales in the United States, European stock exchanges
are expected to open close to equilibrium on Tuesday.
The luxury group Kering published on Tuesday
results fell sharply over the past year, despite a
improvement in trends in the fourth quarter. “Kering is approaching 2026
with a clear objective: to return to growth and improve its margins,
starting this year,” said Kering.
Gecina will publish its annual results on Tuesday after the
closing of the Paris Stock Exchange.
Around 7:40 a.m., the CAC 40 futures contract was almost stable, according to
IG broker data.
This morning, index futures
Europeans are not changing much, despite the new record of the new Dow record
Jones, while caution could reign on the eve of the publication of
report on non-agricultural employment in the United States.
Around 7:40 a.m., the DAX 40 futures contract at
Frankfurt lost 0.1%, while the FTSE 100 in London gained 0.1%, according to
IG broker data.
Investors are watching the political situation
in the United Kingdom, where Prime Minister Keir Starmer is weakened by
repercussions of the Epstein case.
Keir Starmer, entered Downing Street in July
2024, is one of the least popular leaders in the modern history of
United Kingdom and is only holding on to his post by a thread. Most analysts
believe that the question is not whether he will leave, but when. The country
would thus move towards the appointment of a fifth prime minister in seven
years, a worrying prospect for businesses and investors.
The New York Stock Exchange continued its rebound on Monday, driven by technology stocks,
This allowed the Dow Jones Index to confirm its crossing of 50,000
dots.
The Dow Jones broke a new historical record thanks to a small increase of
0.04%, to 50,135.87 points. The S&P 500 rose more sharply by 0.5%,
at 6,964.82 points, and the Nasdaq Composite, rich in technological stocks, has
ended up up by 0.9% to 23,238.67 points.
Tech stocks had been bullied last week due to
concerns about the profitability of massive investments in
artificial intelligence. But the trend picked up again on Monday,
in a climate of cautious optimism for the American economy.
On Monday evening, Fed Governor Stephen Miran said that the dollar
is expected to depreciate more sharply than it has done so far
for this to become a major problem that would affect inflation.
During a discussion at the Questrom School of Business at the University of
Boston, the latter indicated that “it would take a movement of very
large scale for this to truly become a primary problem
order that would actually affect consumer prices in the United States.”
“The consequence is that it doesn't matter so much for prices at
consumption.”
Referring to the weakness of the dollar, Stephen Miran indicated that he did not consider
not that it has so far had any significant consequences for the
monetary policy.
In Asia, the Nikkei index on the Tokyo Stock Exchange rose 2.3% on Tuesday at the end of
session. The Shanghai Composite Index gained 0.2%, while the Hang Seng of
Hong Kong stock market rose by 0.4%.
Around 7:40 a.m., the two-year stock rate gave up
1.5 basis points, to 3.49%. The US Treasury bond rate at ten
Years fell by 2 basis points to 4.19%.
The US debt market reacted little to the information published in the
night that China urged its banks to reduce their exposure
to U.S. Treasury securities.
According to Ian Lyngen, head of strategy at
American rates at BMO Capital Markets, “the outlook for
diversification of foreign investors at the expense of Treasuries are
in the market radar for some time and as a result, it has not
It was surprising to see that the news was only worth an increase of 3 to 4 points
base rates at 10 and 30 years.”
The greenback lost 0.3% against the currency
Japanese, at 155.39 yen. Around 7:40 a.m., the euro lost 0.1% to 1.1903 dollars.
Oil prices are not changing much this morning. The March contract on soft light crude (WTI) listed on Nymex was stable, at 64.36 dollars per barrel. Around 7:40 a.m., the April contract on sea Brent from North listed in London rose 10 cents, or 0.1%, to $69.14 per barrel.
The U.S. Department of Transportation said in
a maritime notice that ships flying the American flag should comply
as far away from Iranian waters as possible. The opinion notes that the forces
Iranian women tried this month to force merchant ships to enter
in Iranian waters.
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