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Currency Table-Time Horizon: Daily
bias |
resistance |
support |
comment |
|
bull |
80.72/84 |
78.8 |
Consolidation under resisatnce |
|
bull |
0.7814 |
0.75 |
MM13 in support |
|
bear |
1,604 |
1.5685 |
Break restoreangle horizontal_Obj 1.5685 then 1.5350 |
|
neutral |
1.0877 |
1,066 |
Intermediate support at 1.0788 |
|
neutral |
0.93 |
0.8865 |
Test support |
|
neutral |
127.5 |
125.7 |
Bearish divergence |
|
bull |
1,255 |
1,201 |
Test support CT 1,2130 |
|
neutral |
142.72 |
137.2 |
Bullish bias >140.30 |
|
GBP/USD |
bull |
1.37 |
1.3285 |
Bullish oblique in support-Obj 1.3900 |
bull |
0.74 |
0.7 |
back support to 0.7145 |
|
bear |
0.8985 |
0.87 |
Bullish divergence |
|
bear |
104.75 |
101.18 |
Bullish Divergence-Descending Oblique Test |
HIGHLIGHTS: RISING BOND YIELDS AND FALLING STOCK MARKETS STRENGTHEN THE DOLLAR
The dollar continued its rebound yesterday against major currencies. Rising bond yields are supporting the greenback with a 10-year high since March. Traders are now wondering about monetary policy, which would be too accommodative, especially if with the arrival of vaccines the economic recovery accelerates. A member of fed Bostic said the central bank is not locked in its beliefs and can change its forecasts.
For now, however, it is far too early to see a change and the rise in rates has just allowed the dollar to recover from a largely oversold rate. In addition, lower equities led to flows to dollar-denominated safe haven assets
.The big losers in this sequence are those who had outperformed namely the AUD and NZD. These currencies are recovering this morning on short-term supports at 0.7640 and 0.7145 respectively which will have to be confirmed at the close. Against the yen the greenback stopped on a bearish oblique while the pound and the euro are suffering from new restrictive measures in Britain and Germany.
TODAY'S CURRENCY: GBP/USD, THE POUND REMAINS IN A BULLISH SCENARIO
The pound returned to a support zone between 1.3480 and 1.3500 that limited its decline. Yesterday's candlestick in contact with this technical support represents a quasi doji in the shape of a hangman, a candle that can be a harbinger of a bullish reversal or the end of the decline, especially if it were confirmed by a positive session today.
The cable is indeed in an upward trend above an ascending oblique that connects the low points since September. The target remains at 1.3900.
A return below 1.3480 would call into question this scenario which would be abandoned in the event of a close under the oblique.
Evolution of the pound against the dollar in daily data:
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