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OF Morning Report

25/01/2024
Source : ORISHAS FINANCE
Categories: General Information

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European stock markets could fall before the ECB. The Eurostoxx 50 opened at 4,564.11 points (+2.20%), the CAC 40 at 7,455.64 points (+0.91%), the DAX 40 at 16,889.92 points (+1.58%), the FTSE 100 at 7,527.67 points (+2.20%), the CAC 40 at 7,527.67 points (+0.56%), the SMI at 11,196.82 points (+0.43%), the AEX at 806.93 points (+1.58%), the FTSE 100 at 7,527.67 points (+0.56%), the SMI at 11,196.82 points (+0.43%), the AEX at 806.93 points (+1.58%), the FTSE 100 at 7,527.67 points (+0.56%), the SMI at 11,196.82 points (+ +2.43%), the BEL 20 at 3,631.05 points (+0.90%), the IBEX 35 at 9,974.00 points (+1.16%), the DJIA at 37,806.39 points (-0.26%), the Nasdaq at 15,481.92 points (+0.90%), the IBEX 35 at 9,974.00 points (+1.16%), the DJIA at 37,806.39 points (-0.26%), the Nasdaq at 15,481.92 points (+0.90%), the Nasdaq at 15,481.92 points (+0.36%), the S&P 500 at 4,868.55 points (+0.08%), and the Nikkei 225 at 36,236.23% 47 points (+0.03%

).

As for exchange rates, the change from the close indicates that in New York, the EUR/USD is at 1.0879 (-0.07%), the EUR/JPY at 160.77 (+0.07%), and the USD/JPY at 160.77 (+0.11%), and the USD/JPY at 147.79 (+0.19%).


Business climate figures in January are expected at 8:45am, on the macroeconomic front. The logistics and transport group ID Logistics reported sales that exceeded expectations in the fourth quarter, driven by strong commercial momentum in the United States. On Wednesday evening, the distributor Carrefour announced that it had entered into exclusive negotiations with Intermarkt with a view to the takeover of 31 stores currently under the banner of its competitor Casino. The digital assistance service provider Solutions 30 reported double-digit revenue growth in the fourth quarter, thanks to the dynamism of its business in Benelux, while the situation remained sluggish in France.

Ahead of the monetary policy decision by the European Central Bank (ECB) and amid a new wave of corporate earnings, European equity markets could open slightly lower on Thursday. According to data from broker IG, the DAX 40 contract lost 32 points, or 0.2%, and the FTSE 100 contract fell by 14 points, or 0.2%. At 7:30am, the CAC 40 futures contract gave up 13 points,

or 0.2%.

The ECB is expected to leave its key interest rates unchanged on Thursday and confirm that it will reduce reinvestments under its Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP) in the second half of the year and intends to stop them at the end of the year. At the World Economic Forum in Davos in mid-January, the official hinted that the ECB could start cutting rates this summer as inflation was on track.
Economists expect US GDP to grow by 2% in annualized terms, up from 4.9% in the third quarter. The central banks of Norway and Turkey will also announce their monetary policy decisions. Tesla reported lower-than-expected fourth-quarter results last night and warned that production would slow down this year before the launch of its next generation of electric vehicles. After outperforming expectations in the fourth quarter, technology group IBM said it expected demand for artificial intelligence (AI) to increase

.

Asian markets rose on Thursday, supported in particular by the announcements made by the People's Bank of China (PBOC). The Chinese central bank announced a 0.5 percentage point decrease in the bank reserve requirement rate as of February 5.

The Hang Seng Index rose 2.1% at the end of the session in Hong Kong and the Shanghai Composite jumped 2.9%. The Nikkei Index ended near breakeven in Tokyo

.


Before the release on Thursday, US Treasury bond yields fell in the United States, GDP today and inflation data on Friday. Economists expect durable goods orders and GDP growth across the Atlantic to slow, while weekly unemployment claims are expected to rise slightly

.


While traders await the ECB's announcements, the euro gave some ground against the dollar on Thursday. According to MUFG analysts, a difficult outlook for global growth should continue to support the greenback in the near term, but a major surge is unlikely. These refer to the slowdown in inflation in the United States, the possibility that the European Central Bank (ECB) will not lower its rates before the summer and the increased confidence of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) in reaching its inflation target

.

In a geopolitical context that is still tense, oil futures are up slightly this morning. Analysts at Citi Research believe that in the short term, attacks in parts of the Middle East could cause enough disruption and uncertainty to cause oil prices to rise. For them, Brent will average $80 per barrel in the first quarter

.

Around 7:20 a.m., the March contract on soft light crude (WTI) listed on Nymex took 42 cents, at $75.51 per barrel, and the contract for the same maturity on North Sea Brent gained 38 cents, at $80.42 per barrel.

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